Ards FC 3-1 Ballyclare Comrades — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.9
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
2.9
6+ Goals
9%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballyclare Comrades EU Bookmakers 24%
-16% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.79/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.47
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Ballyclare Comrades
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-3 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
14.09.2024 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 3-2 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
16.04.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
28.11.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 3-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
28.10.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 6-3 HT 4-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
22.04.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 5-1 HT 3-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Ballyclare Comrades
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC beat Ballyclare Comrades 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ards FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballyclare Comrades led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ards FC and 3.67 for Ballyclare Comrades.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Ballyclare Comrades?

Ards FC 3-1 Ballyclare Comrades in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Ballyclare Comrades?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 49%, draw 20%, Ballyclare Comrades 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ards FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ards FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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