Limavady United 3-1 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2025

Limavady United
3-1
Newry City AFC
📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Limavady United vs Newry City AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
2.9
6+ Goals
9%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-5.4pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.9pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Limavady United v Newry City AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Limavady United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 19%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.25/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.00
-37% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Limavady United vs Newry City AFC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Limavady United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Newry City AFC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
07.12.2024 Limavady United Limavady United 3-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
17.08.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 3-3 HT 2-2 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Limavady United vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Limavady United got the better of Newry City AFC 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Limavady United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Limavady United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Limavady United and 1.50 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Limavady United vs Newry City AFC?

Limavady United 3-1 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Limavady United vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Limavady United 58%, draw 18%, Newry City AFC 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Limavady United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Limavady United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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