Ards FC 1-3 Ballyclare Comrades — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.51
Over 2.5
40%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.46
No
60%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
5.44
2-3 Goals
43%
2.0
4-5 Goals
19%
2.67
6+ Goals
7%
6.51
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.44 — our 31% vs market 13.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
36%
+24.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
64%
-24.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
64%
-24.4pp
60%
BTTS No
36%
+24.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballyclare Comrades EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -7%
1.95/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.49
-3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -26%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
517 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Ballyclare Comrades
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 3-2 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
16.04.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
28.11.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 3-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
28.10.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 6-3 HT 4-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
22.04.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 5-1 HT 3-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
14.02.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 3-2 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Ballyclare Comrades
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballyclare Comrades got the better of Ards FC 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ards FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballyclare Comrades led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ards FC and 3.67 for Ballyclare Comrades.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Ballyclare Comrades?

Ards FC 1-3 Ballyclare Comrades in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Ballyclare Comrades?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 43%, draw 28%, Ballyclare Comrades 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
9 Nov 2024
18:00 Dundela vs Bangor FC Analysis →
18:00 Harland & Wolff Welders vs Institute FC Analysis →
18:15 Ballinamallard United vs Limavady United Analysis →