Annagh United 3-1 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
13%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.9pp
33%
Draw
22%
+10.7pp
13%
Away Win
18%
-4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annagh United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +20%
1.42/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.52
-30% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annagh United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ards FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
26.04.2025 Annagh United Annagh United 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
08.03.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 2-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
12.10.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
19.01.2024 Annagh United Annagh United 2-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
21.10.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Annagh United vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annagh United saw off Ards FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Annagh United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Annagh United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Annagh United and 1.00 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Annagh United vs Ards FC?

Annagh United 3-1 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annagh United vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annagh United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Annagh United 54%, draw 33%, Ards FC 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annagh United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Annagh United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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