Newington Youth 4-1 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
32%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.59
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.89 — our 32% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
15%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
2.39/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.59
+29% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Institute FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.09.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
01.04.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 3-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
30.12.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
26.10.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
21.09.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 4-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
24.02.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth cruised past Institute FC 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newington Youth as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newington Youth and 1.67 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Institute FC?

Newington Youth 4-1 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 45%, draw 29%, Institute FC 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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