Institute FC 0-1 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
44%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
7.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.5pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.3pp
44%
Away Win
34%
+9.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.4pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +27%
1.26/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.64
-32% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 3-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
30.12.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
26.10.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
21.09.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 4-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
24.02.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
16.12.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-1 HT 2-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth nicked a narrow win over Institute FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newington Youth as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Institute FC and 1.17 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Newington Youth?

Institute FC 0-1 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 37%, draw 19%, Newington Youth 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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