Ballinamallard United 2-1 Dundela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.87
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundela EU Bookmakers 27%
-13% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.65/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.17
-19% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dundela
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
08.02.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
30.11.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
31.08.2024 Dundela Dundela 3-3 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
11.11.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
18.02.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-3 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
19.11.2022 Dundela Dundela 4-0 HT 2-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Dundela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United nicked a narrow win over Dundela 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ballinamallard United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundela led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ballinamallard United and 2.17 for Dundela.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Dundela?

Ballinamallard United 2-1 Dundela in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Dundela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 53%, draw 22%, Dundela 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballinamallard United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
20 Sep 2025
17:00 Limavady United vs Harland & Wolff Welders Analysis →
17:00 Institute FC vs Newington Youth Analysis →
17:00 Ards FC vs Armagh City Analysis →