Loughgall FC 2-1 Dundela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.08
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.67
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 32% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.1pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.8pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+14.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-14.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundela EU Bookmakers 21%
-15% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.00/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.72
+3% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dundela
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2023 Dundela Dundela 1-3 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
12.11.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
08.11.2022 Dundela Dundela 0-1 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
22.01.2022 Dundela Dundela 3-0 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
07.08.2021 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
18.01.2020 Dundela Dundela 1-1 HT 1-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Dundela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC nicked a narrow win over Dundela 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Loughgall FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Loughgall FC and 1.00 for Dundela.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Dundela?

Loughgall FC 2-1 Dundela in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Dundela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 48%, draw 27%, Dundela 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Loughgall FC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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