Ards FC 1-2 Annagh United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.0
Over 2.5
61%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
3.48
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.07 — our 28% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
46%
-7.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
54%
+7.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.8pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Annagh United EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.37/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.30
-18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Annagh United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Annagh United Annagh United 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
08.03.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 2-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
12.10.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
19.01.2024 Annagh United Annagh United 2-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
21.10.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
19.08.2023 Annagh United Annagh United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Annagh United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annagh United squeezed past Ards FC 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Annagh United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Annagh United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ards FC and 1.17 for Annagh United.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Annagh United?

Ards FC 1-2 Annagh United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Annagh United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Annagh United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 34%, draw 27%, Annagh United 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annagh United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Annagh United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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