Ballinamallard United 1-1 Limavady United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.02
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Limavady United EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.33/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.00
-21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Limavady United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
30.12.2024 Limavady United Limavady United 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
09.11.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-1 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
21.09.2024 Limavady United Limavady United 1-2 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Limavady United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United and Limavady United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Limavady United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Limavady United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.67 for Limavady United.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Limavady United?

Ballinamallard United 1-1 Limavady United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Limavady United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 32%, draw 25%, Limavady United 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Limavady United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Limavady United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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