Armagh City 1-3 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
28%
2.72
6+ Goals
10%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armagh City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
2.52/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.59
+60% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Armagh City
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Institute FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.04.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 4-3 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
14.03.2025 Armagh City Armagh City 1-2 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
22.11.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 0-0 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
10.08.2024 Armagh City Armagh City 2-2 HT 1-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Armagh City vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC saw off Armagh City 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Institute FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Institute FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Armagh City and 2.00 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Armagh City vs Institute FC?

Armagh City 1-3 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armagh City vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Armagh City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Armagh City 40%, draw 23%, Institute FC 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Armagh City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Armagh City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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