Sheffield United 2-2 Chelsea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

Sheffield United
2-2 HT 1-1
Chelsea
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Sheffield United vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.61
Over 2.5
68%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.14
2-3 Goals
33%
2.08
4-5 Goals
34%
2.56
6+ Goals
16%
5.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
9.13
1/2
6%
19.15
1/X
7%
17.1
X/1
6%
13.6
X/2
19%
3.9
X/X
7%
7.61
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.72
2/X
7%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.6pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.9pp
55%
Away Win
65%
-9.5pp
32%
Under 2.5
35%
-2.4pp
68%
Over 2.5
65%
+2.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield United v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea EU Bookmakers 69%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.01/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.95
-6% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 84%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
13.7 Crosses 19.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sheffield United vs Chelsea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chelsea
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.96 xG 1.90
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
227 Passes 655
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
21.03.2021 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United FAK
07.02.2021 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-2 HT 0-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
07.11.2020 Chelsea Chelsea 4-1 HT 2-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
11.07.2020 Sheffield United Sheffield United 3-0 HT 2-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
31.08.2019 Chelsea Chelsea 2-2 HT 2-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP

Sheffield United 2-2 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
2-2
AWAY Chelsea
1.38 xG 0.35
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
238 Passes 598
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Chelsea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield United and Chelsea shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chelsea at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Sheffield United had 32% of the ball to Chelsea's 68%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.38 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sheffield United and 2.00 for Chelsea.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Chelsea?

Sheffield United 2-2 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Chelsea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 25%, draw 20%, Chelsea 55%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
7 Apr 2024
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