Manchester United 2-2 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

Manchester United
2-2 HT 0-1
Liverpool
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.14
Over 2.5
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
8.32
2-3 Goals
37%
2.35
4-5 Goals
27%
2.38
6+ Goals
12%
4.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.59
1/2
8%
17.6
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
5%
11.1
X/2
14%
4.48
X/X
13%
7.59
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.92
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+15.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-15.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.9pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 62%
+22% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.12/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.17
+7% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +4%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 83%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.4
7.9 Crosses 21.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Manchester United vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Liverpool
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.44 xG 2.05
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
273 Passes 544
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 4-3 HT 1-2 Liverpool Liverpool FAK
17.12.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
05.03.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 7-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
22.08.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 2-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
12.07.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 4-0 HT 3-0 Liverpool Liverpool HAZ
19.04.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 4-0 HT 2-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP

Manchester United 2-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
2-2
AWAY Liverpool
0.70 xG 3.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 28
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 11
278 Passes 486
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 60
10 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United and Liverpool shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Manchester United had 38% of the ball to Liverpool's 62%, shots finished 9-28, expected goals 0.70 to 3.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Manchester United and 2.50 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Liverpool?

Manchester United 2-2 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 26%, draw 23%, Liverpool 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
7 Apr 2024
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