Tottenham 3-1 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.63
Over 2.5
64%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.18
2-3 Goals
35%
2.09
4-5 Goals
31%
2.55
6+ Goals
16%
5.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.2
X/1
20%
3.89
X/2
6%
13.4
X/X
6%
7.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.0
2/2
9%
8.96
2/X
9%
17.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.0 — our 12% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-7.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
34%
+2.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
66%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -12%
1.88/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.67
+13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -18%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
471 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
19.5 Crosses 13.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.65 xG 1.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
421 Passes 307
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-2 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
11.03.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 3-1 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
09.11.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNLK
28.08.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-2 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
24.09.2014 Tottenham Tottenham 3-1 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNLK
02.03.2005 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-3 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
3-1
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.55 xG 1.55
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 2
585 Passes 317
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham saw off Nottingham Forest 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tottenham had 64% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 36%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.55 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Tottenham and 0.67 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest?

Tottenham 3-1 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 58%, draw 22%, Nottingham Forest 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
7 Apr 2024
17:30 Manchester United vs Liverpool Analysis →
19:30 Sheffield United vs Chelsea Analysis →