Cacereno 2-1 Montijo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.28
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.53
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-15.0pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.3pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.7pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Montijo EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.30/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.39
-35% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -27%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Montijo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Montijo Montijo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
16.08.2023 Montijo Montijo 1-0 HT 1-0 Cacereno Cacereno HAZ
07.05.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 2-0 HT 2-0 Montijo Montijo İS4
08.01.2023 Montijo Montijo 1-0 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
10.04.2022 Montijo Montijo 1-1 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
21.11.2021 Cacereno Cacereno 2-0 HT 2-0 Montijo Montijo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
2-1
AWAY Montijo
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Montijo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno nicked a narrow win over Montijo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cacereno had 62% of the ball to Montijo's 38%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cacereno had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cacereno and 0.50 for Montijo.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Montijo?

Cacereno 2-1 Montijo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Montijo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 59%, draw 25%, Montijo 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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