Real Valladolid II 3-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 36%
-16% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.25/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.27
+5% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Valladolid II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
26.02.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
08.10.2022 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 3-2 HT 2-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Valladolid II
3-1
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Valladolid II vs Gimnastica Torrelavega
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Valladolid II got the better of Gimnastica Torrelavega 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Valladolid II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Valladolid II had 57% of the ball to Gimnastica Torrelavega's 43%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Valladolid II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Valladolid II and 0.67 for Gimnastica Torrelavega.

What was the final score of Real Valladolid II vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Real Valladolid II 3-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Valladolid II vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Valladolid II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Real Valladolid II 37%, draw 29%, Gimnastica Torrelavega 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Valladolid II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Valladolid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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