Hercules 3-0 Saguntino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.4pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Saguntino EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -19%
1.30/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.74
-26% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hercules
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Saguntino
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.11.2023 Saguntino Saguntino 3-1 HT 1-0 Hercules Hercules İS4
07.05.2023 Hercules Hercules 2-1 HT 1-1 Saguntino Saguntino İS4
08.01.2023 Saguntino Saguntino 2-3 HT 1-0 Hercules Hercules İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
3-0
AWAY Saguntino
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Saguntino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules ran out comfortable winners over Saguntino 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hercules as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Hercules had 52% of the ball to Saguntino's 48%, shots finished 21-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hercules had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hercules and 2.00 for Saguntino.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Saguntino?

Hercules 3-0 Saguntino in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Saguntino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hercules 54%, draw 24%, Saguntino 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hercules), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hercules) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
7 Apr 2024
12:30 Real Betis II vs Marbella Analysis →
12:30 Ursaria vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
12:30 La Union Atletico vs Yeclano Analysis →
12:30 Sevilla II vs San Roque Analysis →
13:00 Cartagena II vs Ciudad Real Analysis →
13:00 Real Valladolid II vs Gimnastica Torrelavega Analysis →