Mensajero 0-1 Getafe II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
37%
3.18
Away
33%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
24%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.8pp
37%
Draw
28%
+9.0pp
33%
Away Win
46%
-13.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.8pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mensajero EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe II EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mensajero
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Getafe II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.11.2023 Getafe II Getafe II 2-0 HT 1-0 Mensajero Mensajero İS4
POST-MATCH Mensajero vs Getafe II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe II edged past Mensajero 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 37% / 33% — and on the day Getafe II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Mensajero vs Getafe II?

Mensajero 0-1 Getafe II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mensajero vs Getafe II?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mensajero 30%, draw 37%, Getafe II 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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