07/04/2024
·
13:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Mensajero vs Getafe II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
24%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
37%
Draw
28%
33%
Away Win
46%
64%
Under 2.5
59%
36%
Over 2.5
41%
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
61%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mensajero v Getafe II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mensajero
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Getafe II
EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% /
+8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+18%
/
-5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
282 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
340 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
Mensajero vs Getafe II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Mensajero
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Getafe II
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
43%
Ball Possession
57%
9
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
26.11.2023
Getafe II
2-0
HT 1-0
Mensajero
İS4
2-0
HT 1-0
Mensajero
İS4
POST-MATCH
Mensajero vs Getafe II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Getafe II edged past Mensajero 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 37% / 33% — and on the day Getafe II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Mensajero vs Getafe II?
Mensajero 0-1 Getafe II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mensajero vs Getafe II?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mensajero 30%, draw 37%, Getafe II 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
7 Apr 2024