Penya Independent 1-0 Badalona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Independent EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona EU Bookmakers 51%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.16/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+21% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Independent
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Badalona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
6 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Badalona Badalona 1-1 HT 0-1 Penya Independent İS4
POST-MATCH Penya Independent vs Badalona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Independent squeezed past Badalona 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Badalona at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Penya Independent vs Badalona?

Penya Independent 1-0 Badalona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Independent vs Badalona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Badalona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Penya Independent 28%, draw 26%, Badalona 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Badalona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Badalona) ✓ Under 2.5
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