Real Aviles 1-1 Marino De Luanco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.45
Over 2.5
45%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
65%
-10.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
35%
+10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.49/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.31
+7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Marino De Luanco
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
02.04.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
20.11.2022 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
22.01.2022 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
05.09.2021 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-1 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
09.11.2014 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
1-1
AWAY Marino De Luanco
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Marino De Luanco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles and Marino De Luanco shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Real Aviles at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Real Aviles had 66% of the ball to Marino De Luanco's 34%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Aviles had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Aviles and 0.17 for Marino De Luanco.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Marino De Luanco?

Real Aviles 1-1 Marino De Luanco in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Marino De Luanco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 42%, draw 28%, Marino De Luanco 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Aviles), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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