UCAM Murcia 1-1 Linense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.45
Over
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Linense EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.01/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/0.80
-21% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +48%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Linense
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Linense Linense 0-2 HT 0-1 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
26.01.2022 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 Linense Linense İS3
02.10.2021 Linense Linense 2-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
19.01.2020 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 4-3 HT 1-1 Linense Linense İS3
01.09.2019 Linense Linense 1-0 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
1-1
AWAY Linense
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs Linense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia and Linense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was UCAM Murcia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 56% of the ball to Linense's 44%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, UCAM Murcia had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for UCAM Murcia and 1.20 for Linense.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Linense?

UCAM Murcia 1-1 Linense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Linense?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 45%, draw 26%, Linense 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UCAM Murcia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
7 Apr 2024
12:30 Real Betis II vs Marbella Analysis →
12:30 Ursaria vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
12:30 La Union Atletico vs Yeclano Analysis →
12:30 Sevilla II vs San Roque Analysis →
13:00 Cartagena II vs Ciudad Real Analysis →
13:00 Real Valladolid II vs Gimnastica Torrelavega Analysis →