Velez 0-1 Mar Menor CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
48%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
13%
+15.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
48%
Away Win
66%
-17.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.2pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Mar Menor CF EU Bookmakers 70%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-76% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Mar Menor CF
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Mar Menor CF 3-0 HT 1-0 Velez Velez İS4
16.04.2023 Mar Menor CF 1-3 HT 0-1 Velez Velez İS4
04.12.2022 Velez Velez 2-2 HT 1-1 Mar Menor CF İS4
POST-MATCH Velez vs Mar Menor CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mar Menor CF nicked a narrow win over Velez 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mar Menor CF as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Velez and 2.00 for Mar Menor CF.

What was the final score of Velez vs Mar Menor CF?

Velez 0-1 Mar Menor CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez vs Mar Menor CF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mar Menor CF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Velez 28%, draw 24%, Mar Menor CF 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mar Menor CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mar Menor CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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