Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.25 — our 27% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.17
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
11%
4.18
X/2
10%
9.56
X/X
15%
5.57
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
14%
6.83
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-12.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+9.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +5%
1.87/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.77
+7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
26.6 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Braunschweig
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.97 xG 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
443 Passes 254
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-4 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
24.02.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
20.08.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-2 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
08.05.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
11.01.2021 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
15.12.2017 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-0
AWAY Braunschweig
1.83 xG 0.81
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
527 Passes 315
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
40 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf beat Braunschweig 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 60% of the ball to Braunschweig's 40%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.83 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.00 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Braunschweig?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 42%, draw 26%, Braunschweig 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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