Hannover 96 1-1 Schalke 04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.51 — our 24% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.44
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
13%
4.51
X/2
6%
8.07
X/X
12%
5.58
2/1
9%
21.45
2/2
13%
5.46
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
1.84/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.98
+17% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.5 Crosses 18.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Schalke 04
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.00 xG 1.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
333 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-2 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
19.03.2022 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-1 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
15.10.2021 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-1 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
31.03.2019 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-1 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
03.11.2018 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-1 HT 0-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL1
21.01.2018 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-1 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
1-1
AWAY Schalke 04
0.66 xG 0.79
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
278 Passes 172
73% Pass Accuracy 63%
26 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Schalke 04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 and Schalke 04 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hannover 96 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 59% of the ball to Schalke 04's 41%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.66 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hannover 96 and 1.83 for Schalke 04.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Schalke 04?

Hannover 96 1-1 Schalke 04 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Schalke 04?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 47%, draw 26%, Schalke 04 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hannover 96), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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