Newcastle Jets vs Sydney Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle Jets v Sydney — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Jets vs Sydney Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
0-2
HT 0-2
Sydney
AVUS
2-0
HT 2-0
Sydney
AVUS
2-2
HT 2-0
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
1-1
HT 0-0
Sydney
AVUS
Newcastle Jets 3-1 Sydney — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle Jets beat Sydney 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Sydney at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Newcastle Jets had 43% of the ball to Sydney's 57%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.95 to 1.01.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Newcastle Jets and 1.83 for Sydney.
What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Sydney?
Newcastle Jets 3-1 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Sydney?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 32%, draw 22%, Sydney 46%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney) went the other way.