Ventforet Kofu 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 50%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -27%
1.18/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.55
+12% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 Passes 265
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-0 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
01.04.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
11.07.2018 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JPK
18.04.2018 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JLK
14.03.2018 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
09.09.2017 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
0-1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse nicked a narrow win over Ventforet Kofu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Shimizu S-Pulse found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 37% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 63%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 0.33 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Ventforet Kofu 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J2 League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 33%, draw 28%, Shimizu S-Pulse 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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