Aguilas Doradas 0-1 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.2pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 26%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.14/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.34
+7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
17.1 Crosses 12.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.01
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
342 Passes 199
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
11.06.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 3-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
28.05.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
22.04.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
27.11.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-4 HT 2-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
09.11.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
340 Passes 237
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto edged past Aguilas Doradas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aguilas Doradas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 42%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.17 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pasto?

Aguilas Doradas 0-1 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 41%, draw 31%, Deportivo Pasto 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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