America de Cali 4-1 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.48/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.18
-4% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
17.3 Crosses 12.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Junior
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.07
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
204 Passes 370
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2023 Junior Junior 4-3 HT 1-3 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
24.03.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
21.08.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 2-1 Junior Junior KOL
21.02.2022 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
31.01.2021 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
15.10.2020 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 1-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
4-1
AWAY Junior
1.22 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
292 Passes 344
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali swept aside Junior 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, America de Cali had 46% of the ball to Junior's 54%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.22 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for America de Cali and 1.50 for Junior.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Junior?

America de Cali 4-1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 52%, draw 26%, Junior 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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