Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.23/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.34
+21% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
16.0 Crosses 13.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.90 xG 1.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
279 Passes 315
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.08.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
12.03.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
12.09.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
17.03.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
01.08.2021 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
26.03.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Cali
0.50 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
313 Passes 273
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga edged past Deportivo Cali 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 53% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 47%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.50 to 1.07 — on chances, Deportivo Cali could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.50 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Cali?

Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 49%, draw 30%, Deportivo Cali 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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