Widzew Lodz 1-0 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.14
6+ Goals
11%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
13%
4.68
X/2
13%
6.01
X/X
15%
3.73
2/1
10%
33.0
2/2
14%
4.84
2/X
10%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +19%
1.33/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.30
+0% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
26.9 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.86 xG 2.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
319 Passes 393
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 3-2 HT 2-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
23.04.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-3 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
10.10.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-2 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
28.05.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-1 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
22.02.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
20.09.2013 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 3-0 HT 2-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
1-0
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.48 xG 0.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
445 Passes 354
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz edged past Piast Gliwice 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Widzew Lodz made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 54% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 46%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.48 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Widzew Lodz and 2.00 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Piast Gliwice?

Widzew Lodz 1-0 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 37%, draw 30%, Piast Gliwice 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Widzew Lodz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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