Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lech Poznan v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals
Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 3-0
Lech Poznan
POL
2-2
HT 1-1
Pogon Szczecin
POL
2-2
HT 1-1
Lech Poznan
POL
0-1
HT 0-1
Pogon Szczecin
HAZ
0-3
HT 0-0
Lech Poznan
POL
Lech Poznan 1-0 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics
Lech Poznan squeezed past Pogon Szczecin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Lech Poznan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Lech Poznan had 49% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 51%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 1.03 to 1.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pogon Szczecin.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lech Poznan and 1.83 for Pogon Szczecin.
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin?
Lech Poznan 1-0 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 39%, draw 25%, Pogon Szczecin 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.