Santa Clara 0-1 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 7 Apr 2024

Santa Clara
0-1 HT 0-0
Paços De Ferreira
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Santa Clara vs Paços De Ferreira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 34% vs market 30.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Clara v Paços De Ferreira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.84
-28% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.2 Crosses 21.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Santa Clara vs Paços De Ferreira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.32 xG 0.86
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
247 Passes 359
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.11.2023 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-2 HT 0-2 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
11.03.2023 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
17.09.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 1-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
08.05.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-0 HT 1-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
30.12.2021 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 2-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
27.02.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 3-0 HT 2-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR

Santa Clara 0-1 Paços De Ferreira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
0-1
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
1.35 xG 1.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
394 Passes 408
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs Paços De Ferreira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira nicked a narrow win over Santa Clara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Clara at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Santa Clara had 50% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 50%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.35 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Clara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santa Clara and 0.67 for Paços De Ferreira.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Paços De Ferreira?

Santa Clara 0-1 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Paços De Ferreira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 48%, draw 27%, Paços De Ferreira 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santa Clara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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