Makhachkala 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.25/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.27
-5% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
22.04.2023 Makhachkala Makhachkala 3-0 HT 2-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
01.10.2022 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
1-0
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala edged past Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Makhachkala as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Makhachkala had 55% of the ball to Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's 45%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Makhachkala had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Makhachkala and 0.67 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Makhachkala 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 41%, draw 32%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Makhachkala), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
7 Apr 2024
14:00 Sokol Saratov vs FK Rodina Moskva Analysis →
14:00 SKA Khabarovsk vs Neftekhimik Analysis →
16:00 Chernomorets vs Kuban Krasnodar Analysis →