SKA Khabarovsk 0-1 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 34%
+19% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
1.79/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.98
+59% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
222 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Neftekhimik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-0 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
08.04.2023 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
18.09.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-1 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
31.10.2021 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 3-1 HT 1-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
17.07.2021 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-0 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
08.05.2021 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 3-2 HT 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
0-1
AWAY Neftekhimik
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SKA Khabarovsk vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik edged past SKA Khabarovsk 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was SKA Khabarovsk at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, SKA Khabarovsk had 64% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 36%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SKA Khabarovsk and 1.00 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of SKA Khabarovsk vs Neftekhimik?

SKA Khabarovsk 0-1 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKA Khabarovsk vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a SKA Khabarovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SKA Khabarovsk 42%, draw 28%, Neftekhimik 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (SKA Khabarovsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SKA Khabarovsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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