Sokol Saratov 1-1 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 54%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.71/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.29
-31% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
209 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sokol Saratov
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
16.07.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 4-0 HT 2-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sokol Saratov
1-1
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sokol Saratov vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sokol Saratov and FK Rodina Moskva shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FK Rodina Moskva at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sokol Saratov had 39% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 61%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Sokol Saratov vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Sokol Saratov 1-1 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sokol Saratov vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sokol Saratov 25%, draw 26%, FK Rodina Moskva 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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