FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 Lokomotiv Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

FC Akhmat Grozny
0-2 HT 0-1
Lokomotiv Moscow
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

FC Akhmat Grozny vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 31% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.48
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
11%
5.32
X/2
8%
5.99
X/X
14%
4.34
2/1
11%
28.5
2/2
18%
4.12
2/X
5%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Akhmat Grozny v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.26/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.37
-24% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
18.0 Crosses 13.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

FC Akhmat Grozny vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.53 xG 1.23
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
261 Passes 310
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
11.03.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
04.09.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
19.03.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-3 HT 2-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
20.11.2021 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
28.11.2020 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS

FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
0-2
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
0.27 xG 2.21
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 11
224 Passes 572
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Lokomotiv Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow saw off FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Akhmat Grozny at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 33% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 67%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.27 to 2.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.33 for Lokomotiv Moscow.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 41%, draw 27%, Lokomotiv Moscow 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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