Ajdovscina Skou 2-1 Krka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajdovscina Skou EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Krka EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.35/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/0.27
+37% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajdovscina Skou
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Krka
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2023 Krka Krka 2-3 HT 1-0 Ajdovscina Skou SLVN2
14.04.2023 Krka Krka 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajdovscina Skou SLVN2
01.10.2022 Ajdovscina Skou 2-2 HT 1-1 Krka Krka SLVN2
20.05.2022 Ajdovscina Skou 1-2 HT 1-1 Krka Krka SLVN2
05.11.2021 Krka Krka 3-3 HT 1-1 Ajdovscina Skou SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajdovscina Skou
2-1
AWAY Krka
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajdovscina Skou vs Krka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajdovscina Skou edged past Krka 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ajdovscina Skou as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ajdovscina Skou had 54% of the ball to Krka's 46%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Krka led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Ajdovscina Skou and 2.00 for Krka.

What was the final score of Ajdovscina Skou vs Krka?

Ajdovscina Skou 2-1 Krka in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajdovscina Skou vs Krka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajdovscina Skou win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ajdovscina Skou 48%, draw 25%, Krka 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajdovscina Skou) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajdovscina Skou) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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