Triglav 2-0 Bilje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bilje EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +17%
2.32/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.23
+55% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Bilje
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2023 Bilje 1-1 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
13.11.2022 Triglav Triglav 0-1 HT 0-0 Bilje SLVN2
31.07.2022 Bilje 2-0 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
04.05.2022 Bilje 0-0 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
15.10.2021 Triglav Triglav 3-0 HT 1-0 Bilje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triglav
2-0
AWAY Bilje
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Triglav vs Bilje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav got the better of Bilje 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Triglav as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Triglav had 48% of the ball to Bilje's 52%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bilje led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Triglav and 0.80 for Bilje.

What was the final score of Triglav vs Bilje?

Triglav 2-0 Bilje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs Bilje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Triglav 42%, draw 23%, Bilje 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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