Gorica 4-1 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 17%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.98/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.89
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +97%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ilirija
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
20.09.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 0-4 HT 0-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
13.03.2022 Gorica Gorica 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gorica
4-1
AWAY Ilirija
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gorica vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica swept aside Ilirija 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gorica as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gorica had 63% of the ball to Ilirija's 37%, shots finished 16-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gorica and 0.50 for Ilirija.

What was the final score of Gorica vs Ilirija?

Gorica 4-1 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gorica 55%, draw 22%, Ilirija 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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