Greenville Triumph 3-1 Northern Colorado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Northern Colorado EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.38/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.45
-23% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.1 Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Northern Colorado
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.93 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 Passes 323
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-2 HT 0-2 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
20.08.2023 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
25.09.2022 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
28.08.2022 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-2 HT 0-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
26.06.2022 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-1 HT 0-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenville Triumph
3-1
AWAY Northern Colorado
2.02 xG 0.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
312 Passes 288
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 24
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Northern Colorado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph got the better of Northern Colorado 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Greenville Triumph found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Greenville Triumph had 50% of the ball to Northern Colorado's 50%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 2.02 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Northern Colorado led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Greenville Triumph and 1.20 for Northern Colorado.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Northern Colorado?

Greenville Triumph 3-1 Northern Colorado in the USA - USL League 1 on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Northern Colorado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 38%, draw 31%, Northern Colorado 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenville Triumph) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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