Richmond Kickers 3-2 Central Valley Fuego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.5pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Valley Fuego EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.58/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.25
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
19.4 Crosses 12.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Central Valley Fuego
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.50 xG 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
331 Passes 322
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 4-5 HT 3-2 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
31.08.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 3-3 HT 1-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
11.06.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 1-2 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
25.09.2022 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-1 HT 1-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
21.08.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 2-2 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
24.07.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 3-1 HT 2-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
3-2
AWAY Central Valley Fuego
1.37 xG 1.10
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 4
344 Passes 456
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Central Valley Fuego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richmond Kickers edged past Central Valley Fuego 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Richmond Kickers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 43% of the ball to Central Valley Fuego's 57%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.37 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Valley Fuego led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Richmond Kickers and 2.50 for Central Valley Fuego.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Central Valley Fuego?

Richmond Kickers 3-2 Central Valley Fuego in the USA - USL League 1 on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Central Valley Fuego?

Before kick-off our model rated a Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 42%, draw 25%, Central Valley Fuego 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Richmond Kickers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Richmond Kickers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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