Tormenta 3-0 Lexington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tormenta EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lexington EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.18/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.75
-7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
13.9 Crosses 15.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tormenta
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lexington
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.66 xG 1.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 336
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
03.07.2023 Lexington Lexington 1-5 HT 0-2 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
11.06.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 1-1 HT 1-1 Lexington Lexington USL1
16.04.2023 Lexington Lexington 2-1 HT 1-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tormenta
3-0
AWAY Lexington
1.80 xG 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
302 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tormenta vs Lexington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tormenta cruised past Lexington 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Tormenta made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tormenta had 48% of the ball to Lexington's 52%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.80 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tormenta and 1.33 for Lexington.

What was the final score of Tormenta vs Lexington?

Tormenta 3-0 Lexington in the USA - USL League 1 on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tormenta vs Lexington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tormenta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tormenta 37%, draw 28%, Lexington 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tormenta) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tormenta) ✗ BTTS Yes
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