Varbergs 2-1 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.03
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
10%
4.98
X/2
13%
6.88
X/X
16%
4.71
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
10%
4.98
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -18%
1.57/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.50
+3% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Örebro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 1-1 HT 0-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
22.04.2024 Örebro Örebro 3-1 HT 1-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs
2-1
AWAY Örebro
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs edged past Örebro 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Varbergs made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varbergs had 52% of the ball to Örebro's 48%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Örebro led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Varbergs and 2.00 for Örebro.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs Örebro?

Varbergs 2-1 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 38%, draw 31%, Örebro 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
7 Apr 2025
20:00 IK Brage vs Falkenbergs FF Analysis →