Elche vs Racing Ferrol Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elche v Racing Ferrol — Team-Based Signals
Elche vs Racing Ferrol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Racing Ferrol
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Elche
İS2
0-1
HT 0-1
Racing Ferrol
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Racing Ferrol
İS2
Elche 1-0 Racing Ferrol — Actual Match Statistics
Elche edged past Racing Ferrol 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Elche had 63% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 37%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.49 to 0.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Elche's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Ferrol led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Elche and 0.83 for Racing Ferrol.
What was the final score of Elche vs Racing Ferrol?
Elche 1-0 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elche vs Racing Ferrol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Elche 61%, draw 22%, Racing Ferrol 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.