Padova Calcio 2-1 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.53
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-10.5pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.7pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.75/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.72
-5% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
454 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Lecco
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Lecco Lecco 0-3 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
16.04.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 3-1 HT 2-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
11.12.2022 Lecco Lecco 2-1 HT 1-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
16.02.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-1 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
09.10.2021 Lecco Lecco 3-2 HT 2-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
2-1
AWAY Lecco
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio nicked a narrow win over Lecco 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 47% of the ball to Lecco's 53%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Padova Calcio and 1.40 for Lecco.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Lecco?

Padova Calcio 2-1 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 58%, draw 26%, Lecco 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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