SSC Giugliano 1-1 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
18.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.9 — our 27% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.63/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.98
+43% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Casertana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Casertana Casertana 1-1 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
17.08.2024 Casertana Casertana 1-1 HT 0-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTCK
18.12.2023 Casertana Casertana 3-1 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
1-1
AWAY Casertana
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano and Casertana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Casertana at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 49% of the ball to Casertana's 51%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Casertana led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SSC Giugliano and 1.67 for Casertana.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Casertana?

SSC Giugliano 1-1 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 31%, draw 26%, Casertana 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Casertana), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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