Casertana 1-1 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.46
6+ Goals
11%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 28%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
2.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+28% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
1W-0D-0L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.12.2023 Casertana Casertana 3-1 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
1-1
AWAY SSC Giugliano
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Casertana vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana and SSC Giugliano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Casertana at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Casertana had 49% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 51%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Casertana vs SSC Giugliano?

Casertana 1-1 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Casertana 43%, draw 27%, SSC Giugliano 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Casertana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ BTTS Yes
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