Avellino 1-1 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
29%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
60%
-14.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
17%
+12.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 20%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
0.68/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.17
-63% / +144% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
1-1
AWAY Pontedera
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino and Pontedera shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Avellino at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Avellino had 63% of the ball to Pontedera's 37%, shots finished 20-9.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Pontedera?

Avellino 1-1 Pontedera in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Avellino 45%, draw 26%, Pontedera 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Avellino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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