Novara 1-2 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 17 Aug 2024

Novara
1-2 HT 1-2
Milan II
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Pro League Cup – 2024/2025

Novara vs Milan II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Novara v Milan II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 48%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Novara 1-2 Milan II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
1-2
AWAY Milan II
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novara vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan II nicked a narrow win over Novara 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Milan II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novara had 44% of the ball to Milan II's 56%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Novara vs Milan II?

Novara 1-2 Milan II in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milan II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Novara 32%, draw 30%, Milan II 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milan II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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