Casertana 1-1 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.53
6+ Goals
8%
23.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 35% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.22/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.41
-6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
344 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
1W-1D-0L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
17.08.2024 Casertana Casertana 1-1 HT 0-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTCK
18.12.2023 Casertana Casertana 3-1 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
1-1
AWAY SSC Giugliano
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Casertana vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana and SSC Giugliano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Casertana had 52% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 48%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Casertana had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Casertana and 1.00 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of Casertana vs SSC Giugliano?

Casertana 1-1 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Casertana 40%, draw 30%, SSC Giugliano 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casertana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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